Pick 5: Cincinnati vs. Carolina and Buffalo vs. New England

Pick 5: Cincinnati vs. Carolina and Buffalo vs. New England

The Teaser: Pair Cincinnati and Buffalo

Game 1: Cincinnati vs. Carolina

The Initial Line:

Cincinnati -7.5 home vs. Carolina

The Take:

Add 7 points to Cincinnati’s line

The Final Line:

Cincinnati -0.5

The Breakdown:

Cincinnati suffered its first loss of the season, as New England got back on track and handed them a road loss 43-17. Andy Dalton had a decent game, throwing for 204 yds and 2 TDs. However they had 3 turnovers in all, and now sit at 3-1 for the season. Carolina pulled out a late victory against Chicago, winning 31-24 at home. They were down 21-7 in the 2nd quarter, but outscored Chicago 17-3 in the 2nd half to move to 3-2 on the year. The Carolina defense was able to step up big, forcing 4 turnovers against a potent Chicago offense.

Cincinnati had a rough game against New England, but that is a tough atmosphere to play in and they play a lot better at home in recent history. They have now won their last 11 home games in the regular season dating back to December of 2012. Carolina has also seen its share of struggles on the road, as they recently lost 38-10 to Baltimore in Week 4. Expect the same kind of treatment from Cincinnati this week, as they will be ready in this home matchup and will get a victory over Carolina. Take them at -0.5 to ensure a victory clinches it.

Game 2: Buffalo vs. New England

The Initial Line:

Buffalo +3.5 home vs. New England

The Take:

Add 7 points to Buffalo’s line

The Final Line:

Buffalo +10.5

The Breakdown:

Buffalo was able to defeat Detroit on the road, winning 17-14. Dan Carpenter hit a game-winning 58 yd FG as time expired to seal the win. They were able to accomplish this with backup QB Kyle Orton (308 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT), after EJ Manuel was benched due to his poor performance. The defense was also able to force 2 turnovers in the victory. New England finally put in all together at home on Sunday Night Football, beating Cincinnati 43-17. The team generated 505 yds and Tom Brady reached the 50,000 yard mark – he’s only the 6th QB in history to do so. The defense also forced 3 fumbles which gave them ample opportunities on offense.

New England has had great success against Buffalo in the last couple years, but Buffalo is riding high and only lost 23-21 to them the last time they played in Ralph Wilson Stadium. Buffalo and New England are both tied for the league lead in turnover differential at +6, so don’t be surprised in both teams get after the ball in this one. Buffalo will be more concerned with New England’s passing game rather than rushing, as they are 2nd in the league in opp. rushing yds. Expect this to be a tight game that could go either way. Even if New England pulls it out, Buffalo won’t let them be beaten down at home. Take them at +10.5 as this should be a one score game.

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