Pick 1: New York (AFC) vs. New England and Detroit vs. New Orleans

Pick 1: New York (AFC) vs. New England and Detroit vs. New Orleans

The Teaser: Pair New York (AFC) and Detroit

Game 1: New York (AFC) vs. New England

The Initial Line:

New York (AFC) +10 away vs. New England

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to New York’s line

The Final Line:

New York (AFC) +17.5

The Breakdown:

New York suffered another tough loss on Sunday, losing at home to Denver 31-17. Geno Smith threw for 2 TDs, but 2 turnovers by New York vs. 0 for Denver was the difference in the game. New York’s rushing game also failed them, as Smith was the leading rusher with only 11 yards. New England got its second straight victory, winning 37-22 on the road vs Buffalo. Brady had a huge game, throwing for 361 yards and 4 TDs. Brandon LaFell is finding a rhythm with Brady, as he caught 4 passes for 97 yards and 2 TDs. Buffalo also hurt themselves with 3 turnovers in the game.

This Thursday night rivalry should be a battle between these divisional rivals. New York has obviously struggled recently, and New England is starting to put the pieces together. However these games have been close in recent history, as the last 2 games finished within 3 points (each team is 1-1). New England also lost their star defensive linebacker Jerod Mayo and running back Steven Ridley for the season, and this will complicate matters on both sides of the ball. Expect New York to bounce back and play a tough game, as long as they can minimize their turnovers. I think New England might still have the firepower to pull out a victory, but there is a ton of value in getting New York at +17.5 in this one.

Game 2: Detroit vs. New Orleans

The Initial Line:

Detroit -3 home vs. New Orleans

The Take:

Add 7.5 points to Detroit’s line

The Final Line:

Detroit +4.5

The Breakdown:

Detroit was able to beat Minnesota 17-3 on the road in week 6, despite not having Calvin Johnson in the lineup. The defense was able to step up, as they picked off Teddy Bridgewater 3 times in the victory and held Minnesota to only 212 yds of total offense. Joique Bell had a solid game, with 74 rush yds and a TD. New Orleans had a much needed bye in week 6, as they sit at 2-3 on the season after barely squeaking out a win at home against Tampa Bay in week 5. They have the 2nd most passing yard average in the league, but have struggle to turn those yards into TDs as their largest margin of victory came against Minnesota in week 3 20-9.

New Orleans heads into a road game in Detroit on Sunday, but that doesn’t bode well for them based on recent history. They are 0-3 this year and only 6-13 (31.6 win%) since the beginning of 2012 on the road. Detroit hopes to get Calvin Johnson back to give a boost to their offense, but the defense has been stepping up this season. They rank 1st in opp. passing yds and 2nd in opp. rushing yds, which will challenge a team that wins primarily by their offensive performance. This one may be close, but Detroit should pull out a victory at home this week. Take them at +4.5 in case New Orleans stays in the game and wins on a late FG like Buffalo did in week 5.

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