Pick 3: Houston vs. Tennessee and Baltimore vs. Cincinnati

Pick 3: Houston vs. Tennessee and Baltimore vs. Cincinnati

The Teaser: Pair Houston and Baltimore

Game 1: Houston vs. Tennessee

The Initial Line:

Houston -1 away vs. Tennessee

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Houston’s line

The Final Line:

Houston +7.5

The Breakdown:

Houston suffered a tough loss in Pittsburgh, as they were defeated 30-23 after leading early 13-0. JJ Watt once again showed why he’s the best defensive player in the league, with a sack and a fumble recovery. With that fumble recovery the defense recorded its league leading 15th takeaway of the season. However the offense has 13 giveaways of their own which is a major reason they sit below .500 at this point in the season. Tennessee was dealt a harsh blow as they lost in Washington 19-17 on Sunday. They had a 17-16 lead late, but gave up a FG as time expired to move them to 2-5 on the season. The offense committed 2 turnovers and they now sit at 1-3 on the road.

Houston has the potential to be a good team, but the need to reduce the turnovers on offense. One bright side for the offense has been Arian Foster, who ranks 2nd in the league in rushing yds. He should be able to find success this weekend against a team that sits at 22nd in rush yds allowed/game. Honestly Houston is a better team than Tennessee overall, and the line should be much greater than -1 even with them on the road. They probably won’t lose this game, but even if they do Tennessee will not run away with it against the tough Houston D. Feel confident grabbing them at +7.5 so they could even still lose by a TD and would cover the final line.

Game 2: Baltimore vs. Atlanta

The Initial Line:

Baltimore even away vs. Cincinnati

The Take:

Add 8.5 points to Baltimore’s line

The Final Line:

Baltimore +8.5

The Breakdown:

Baltimore continues to roll, as they got a home victory 29-7 vs Atlanta to make it 2 straight and move them to 5-2 on the season. The defense forced a fumble and held an explosive Atlanta offense to only 7 points. Joe Flacco threw for 258 yds, with 2 TDs and 2 INTs. Cincinnati has continued to struggle over the past couple weeks, as they were shutout on the road by Indianapolis 27-0. The offense only had 135 total yds, the defense gave up over 500 yds, and really nothing went well for them. After a 3-0 start, they sit at 0-2-1 in their last 3 with a -51 point differential in the 3 games.

This aims to be a good divisional matchup, as these two teams top the AFC North division. Baltimore has the slight edge right now as far as talent, but Cincinnati is still a very tough team to defeat at home. Cincy’s defense has struggled this year however, as they rank 27th in pass yds allowed and 30th in rush yds allowed. Of all teams in the NFL, Baltimore has the largest point differential through week 7 at +89. The offense should be able to put up points against Cincinnati, and the defense should keep them in the game. Expect this to be a tight one, but taking them at +8.5 should be plenty based on the performances of these two teams lately.

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