29 Oct Pick 3: San Diego vs. Miami and Arizona vs. Dallas
The Teaser: Pair San Diego and Arizona
Game 1: San Diego vs. Miami
The Initial Line:
San Diego even away vs. Miami
Add 7.5 points to San Diego’s line
The Final Line:
San Diego +7.5
San Diego suffered its second straight defeat, losing on the road on Thursday Night Football to Denver. Emmanuel Sanders broke out with 3 receiving TDs and Denver was also able to win the turnover battle 2-0. Both Rivers and Manning threw for 3 TDs, but the 2 INTs by Rivers proved costly in a tough Mile High Stadium environment. Miami got a road win in week 8, defeating Jacksonville 27-13. Miami was able to return 2 Blake Bortles INTs for TD, which made the difference in the game. Ryan Tannehill had an average game, throwing for 196 yds, 1 TD and 1 INT. The Miami defense was able to get 3 takeaways, and their 326 total yards proved to be enough against a weak Jacksonville squad.
San Diego has lost 2 consecutive games, but both losses came against teams with a combined record of 12-2. They have as many losses as Miami, but are a much better overall football team. Its starts at the QB position, as Philip Rivers continues to impress this season. He has the 3rd most TD passes in the league (20) as well as the 3rd best QB rating (109.9). They know that they can’t lose 3 straight games to try and keep pace with Denver, so look for them to come out strong against Miami. They will have the victory at the end of this game, but it never hurts to have over a TD cushion at +7.5.
Game 2: Arizona vs. Dallas
The Initial Line:
Arizona +3 away vs. Dallas
Add 7.5 points to Arizona’s line
The Final Line:
Arizona got a satisfying home victory in week 8, defeating Philadelphia 24-20. It took a late 75 TD pass by Carson Palmer to Josh Brown with under 2 minutes left to clinch the win. Palmer threw for 329 yds and 2 TDs in all, and Andre Ellington added 71 rush yds and a TD. Larry Fitzgerald finally had a big game, catching a total of 160 receiving yds and a TD. The Arizona defense also forced Philly into 3 turnovers which ended up making the difference. Dallas lost a tight one in OT at home, falling to Washington 20-17. This ended their 6 game winning streak, and part of this was due to the 2 fumbles lost by the Dallas offense. Tony Romo was hit in the back and was out of the game for almost a half, but Brandon Weeden filled in nicely on 2 drives throwing for 69 yds and a TD. Colt McCoy was very effective on the other side of the ball, going 25-30 with 299 yds. DeMarco Murray had another stellar game, with 141 rush yds and 80 rec. yds.
Arizona will travel to Dallas this week for one of the most anticipated games of week 9. It will be interesting to see how Dallas fairs against a quality team. They sit at 6-2, but only a couple of those victories have come against “elite” teams (Seattle, New Orleans on the road). Arizona has shown that they can play both at home and on the road, and expect them to run with Andre Ellington against a 19th ranked Dallas run defense. Also Arizona ranks 3rd in rush yds against, so it will be interesting to see them against DeMarco Murray. Tony Romo’s status is questionable for the game, but even if he goes you wonder if he’ll be effective against a team who’s turnover differential is +9 (2nd best in the NFL). Expect this one to be close, but Arizona can defeat Dallas with a solid pass/run attack.